Data Puzzle: Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests | CEEE
Wildfires are burning more and more of the forests across the western United States. In this Data Puzzle, Data Puzzle, students analyze post-fire forest recovery datasets as they gather evidence to construct explanatory models for the following question, "How do climate conditions impact the recovery of forests after a wildfire?"
Data Puzzle: Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests As part of a 2017 study, Dr. Camille Stevens-Rumann and her team of scientists sought to determine how a changing climate (drier) over the last several decades impacted post-fire tree regeneration. To answer this question, these scientists measured the regrowth (or lack thereof) of conifer seedlings (young, small trees) from 1485 burn sites across the US Rocky Mountains that were affected by fires during the 1985-2015 time period. The results of this study suggest that seedlings have a hard time regenerating (regrowing) in warm/dry conditions. In a future projected to be warmer and drier, we may see landscapes that were forested before a wildfire, transition to grasslands and shrublands after being burned if conifer seedlings are unable to grow back. Context for Use This Data Puzzle is part of a larger collection of Data Puzzle resources that combine classroom-friendly datasets with Ambitious Science Teaching practices to help students make sense of phenomena! Image of fire and burned landscape Program Data Puzzles Resource Type Lesson Data Puzzle Resource Topics Climate Change Climate and Weather Ecosystem Natural Hazards Middle School High School NGSS Disciplinary Core Idea(s) LS2C: Ecosystems Dynamics, Functioning and Resilience Published Date January 11, 2024 Contact Funding Information Data Puzzle: Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests Funding Information × We are grateful to the U.S. National Science Foundation for making Data Puzzles possible. This work is funded under NSF award numbers AGS 1554659 and OPP 1839104 . Additional support for this project is provided by the CU Boulder Outreach Awards Committee. Close Goals Header What Students Will Do Analyze and interpret post-fire forest recovery datasets to identify conifer tree regeneration patterns Construct a model to explain the relationship between drought ( cause ) and post-fire tree regeneration ( effect ) in the northern Rocky Mountains Teaching Materials All Lesson Resources - Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests Google Drive Folder with All Lesson Resources Teacher Guide - Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests Future of Forests Teacher Guide Slide Deck - Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests Future of Forests Slide Deck Student Worksheet - Wildfire, Drought, and the Future of Forests Future of Forests Student Worksheet Description Part 1 – (20 minutes) Eliciting Students' Ideas Access students' prior knowledge post-fire landscape recovery (succession) by asking students to consider what a burned landscape might look like 5, 10, and 20 years after a wildfire. Part 2 – (40 minutes) Identifying Important Science Ideas Students engage with an interactive reading to 1) making connections between the opening scenario prompt and the work of Dr. Camille Stevens-Rumann, a fire ecologist who studies post-fire landscape recovery, and 2) make predictions as it relates to Dr. Stevens-Rumann's research question, " How do climate conditions impact the recovery of forests after a wildfire? " Part 3 – (40 minutes) Supporting Ongoing Changes in Thinking Students test their predictions by analyzing post-fire forest recovery datasets collected from the northern US Rocky Mountains. Part 4 – (40 minutes) Constructing Evidence-Based Explanations S tudents reflect on evidence gathered during parts 1-3 and construct a final explanatory model for the question, " How do climate conditions impact the recovery of forests after a wildfire? " Similar Resources Data Puzzle: Snow in the Rockies