Contaminant Arrival Times at Wells G and H
Simulated concentrations of TCE from Ph.D. dissertation
of Maura Metheny (2005)
Another
major difference in the testimony of the three expert
hydrogeologists in the trial was the arrival times of TCE and PCE
in wells G and H. The plaintiffs' expert stated that these
contaminants would reach wells G and H in less than 3 years. The
Beatrice expert claimed that the contaminants would never flow to
the municipal wells because the Aberjona was a groundwater divide
preventing flow under the river to the wells. The W.R. Grace expert
stated that the contaminants could not have reached wells G and H
by May of 1979.
Each expert had at his disposal the same water-level, streamflow,
and permeability data upon which to make these calculations. Each
expert, however, used a different approach to making the
calculations. One expert relied on the results of a 1-dimensional
model that assumed steady-state conditions within the flow system
and spatially uniform values of permeability, porosity, and
hydraulic gradient. One expert used the water-level and streamflow
data to construct potentiometric surface maps and a potentiometric
profile to show that groundwater could not flow under the Aberjona
River. The third expert incorporated all the site-specific
water-level, streamflow, and permeability data into a 3-dimensional
computer model that accounted for the transient character of the
flow system due to temporal variations in recharge from
precipitation, and changes in the pumping rates of wells G and H
and their periodic use (Bair 2001 ). Excerpts from the trial
testimony of these three experts can be found in Resource
Collections under the Trial Testimony
section.
Jury box for the eight jurists in the Woburn Toxic
Trial
The jury listened to 78
days of testimony, much of it highly technical in nature dealing
with geology, hydrology, contaminant movement, and computer
modeling. None of the testimony dealing with the crucial issues of
if and when did the contaminants reach wells G and H was
consistent. By design, a jury learns passively. Jurists cannot talk
to one another during the trial, only after closing arguments are
made and their deliberations begin. Jurists cannot read textbooks
to help them understand concepts and principals. Jurists, as in the
Woburn Toxic Trial, usually cannot take notes to help them recall
facts and opinions. None of the jurists in the Woburn Toxic Trial
had a degree beyond high school, yet as a group, they were asked by
our society to analyze and evaluate an inordinate volume of highly
technical information (
Bair 2001 ). The crux of the case came
down to which expert did they understand and/or believe in terms of
his calculation of contaminant arrival times at wells G and H.
Learning Modules
3, 5, and 8 involve constructing the maps and performing the
calculations to make (simplistic) estimates of contaminant arrival
times in wells G and H.