This report discusses the frequent warnings that global climate change will allow falciparum malaria to spread into northern latitudes. Using an alternative statistical approach, the recorded present-day global distribution of falciparum malaria is used to establish the current multivariate climatic constraints. These results were applied to future climate scenarios to predict future distributions, which showed remarkably few changes, even under the most extreme scenarios. This report was published in the journal Science, vol 289, Issue 5485, 1763-1766, 8 September 2000.
